What do you think about gun control now?!
In the wake of the heartbreaking mass shooting at Sandy Hook Elementary
School, supporters of gun
control have argued that the attack should be a turning
point in galvanizing popular opinion against guns — and producing strong gun
control legislation.
President Obama declared Saturday that “We’re going to have to come together
to take meaningful action” — though he did not provide details. Sen. Dianne
Feinstein (D-Calif.) said that when Congress returns she will introduce
a bill to restore
the assault weapons ban. Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) said
on
Face the Nation Sunday that “we could be at a tipping point” on gun
control legislation.
If any crime could usher in a new gun control regime, last week’s slaughter
of 20 six- and seven-year-olds should. But will it? Not likely. The same
“tipping points” have presented themselves after previous mass shootings, but
little progress has been made. Instead of continuing to act as if the nation is
poised to reject guns, advocates for gun control should switch tactics. They
should accept the reality that support for guns remains strong and work for a
bipartisan “grand compromise” that offers gun owners substantive benefits in
exchange for reasonable gun restrictions.
The nation has been confronted with a lot of horrific
gun violence in recent years — the 32 killed at Virginia Tech in 2007; the 13 killed
at Texas’s Fort Hood in 2009; the attack last year on Rep. Gabrielle Giffords
(D-Ariz.) that left six people dead, including a federal judge; the 12 people
killed in an Aurora, Colo., movie theater this year. But as mass shootings have
become more frequent and more deadly, popular opinion has been moving steadily
in favor of greater gun rights. In 1993, a Pew Research Center poll found
that support for gun control overpowered support for gun rights by 57%–34%.
By this year, the margin had fallen to 47%–46%. This support for guns is not
just abstract: the FBI has logged
a record 16.8 million background checks for gun purchases this year.
All of which makes the National Rifle Association’s goal of blocking gun
control laws a lot easier. It’s still possible that last week’s attack will
swing popular opinion so strongly against guns that the NRA is powerless to
stand in the way, but the odds are against it. Given that, the best chance for
stronger laws would be for gun control advocates to work with moderate members
of the gun-owning community and come up with a “grand compromise” gun bill. That
means a bill that does not demonize guns, but instead seeks to build a consensus
in favor of prudent gun use.
A key to such a compromise would be trying to win the support of hunters by
offering a bill that is respectful of gun traditions — to undercut the NRA’s
often-effective claim that “they are coming after your guns.” The compromise
bill should also offer law-abiding sportsmen and sportswomen tangible
improvements in the law — ones that do not increase the chances of mass
shootings. The bill could expand the right to hunt certain non-endangered
species in particular places and times. It could streamline some of the
unnecessary red tape that hunters complain about in getting licenses. The
drafters should look at other items on hunters’ legislative wish list, such as
excluding
ammunition and fishing tackle from the Toxic Substances Control Act.
In exchange for these substantive benefits, moderate gun owners should be
willing to go along with important gun control provisions that are not aimed at
them. These could include the top items on the gun control agenda: the assault
weapons ban;
tougher
background checks on gun purchasers; and stricter penalties for “straw
purchasers” who illegally buy guns for people who should not have them.
Some supporters of gun control have been noting triumphantly that the NRA has
laid low since Friday’s shooting — and that according
to host David Gregory, no pro-gun Senators agreed to go on “Meet the Press” on
Sunday. But this is what the gun lobby does after a mass shooting — it would be
a mistake to believe that they are going away.
It’s tempting to engage in anti-gun polemics and hope that popular opinion
will dramatically shift, but it is also likely a mistake. The smarter course for
those who want stronger federal gun control laws anytime soon is legislative
stewardship and compromise. The best way to get the job done is to craft a law
that appeals to the broad middle of the nation, pull in as many pro-gun
moderates as possible, and marginalize the NRA and other anti-gun-control
extremists.